Analytics
Yes is at 81%, up 24 points from 57% when the market opened on 7 Oct 2026.
Across the 16 daily closes on record from 7 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 81.5% on 16 Oct 2026 and the lowest 51% on 13 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 79%. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 51% on 13 Oct 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Will Canza launch a token by ___?”.
$40 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.2K since listing. The order book holds $162.48, with a 10.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 112 trades, $1.24K bought Yes and $398.59 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Brrrijs with 606 shares; the largest No position is AJSV with 941. Ten wallets hold 99.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 3:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 7 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2026 | 57.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 75.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AJSV | No | 940.55 |
| Brrrijs | Yes | 605.62 |
| neonyolobro | Yes | 434.63 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Canza officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Canza after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Canza (https://x.com/Canza_Finance), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-canza-launch-a-token-by
| pootytherewardfarmer |
| No |
| 41.32 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 31.98 |
| CapyOnChain | Yes | 30.6 |
| Malganis | No | 28.59 |
| lolzzzlol | No | 20 |
| ddadsf | No | 10 |
| sadfsadf | No | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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