Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 10% on 19 Jan 2024. Before it settled, across the 180 daily closes on record from 19 Jan 2024 to 16 Jul 2024, the highest close was 15.4% on 23 Jun 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 16 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 4% on 20 Jan 2024. $3.76M traded over the market's life.
34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 17, 2:58 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 180 points, 19 Jan 2024 – 16 Jul 2024, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jan 2024 | 10.0% |
| 16 Jul 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.84M |
| Liquid-Optimization | Yes | 78.8K |
| 122222 | Yes | 39.72K |
qqq
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/republican-vp-nominee
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Sweaty-Heartbeat | Yes | 25K |
| Heavenly-Cayenne | Yes | 8.02K |
| stf3234234 | Yes | 2.81K |
| 21kjsij2kl23 | Yes | 2.77K |
| Indigo Ledger C396 | Yes | 1.65K |
| BigPolyWinner | Yes | 1K |
| GummiMummi | Yes | 950 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
