Analytics
Resolved Yes on 12 Jul 2026.
$6.59K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 13, 4:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 12 Jul 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2026 | 53.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| idunnowhyyy | No | 2.2K |
| BlindAndDeaf | No | 235.61 |
| Randomguy11 | No | 209.01 |
| Swift Falcon 2179 | No | 204.48 |
| bjprolo | No | 80 |
| tweetmaster | No | 48 |
| xykj1 | No | 41.02 |
| PPMT | No | 29.83 |
| Round-Daddy | No | 20 |
| triklozoid | No | 15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The airlines British Airways and Norwegian agreed to a bet on Instagram which stipulates that the airline representing the losing country in the Norway vs. England 2026 FIFA World Cup match, currently scheduled for July 11, 2026, will change its Instagram profile picture to the logo of the corresponding airline (https://www.instagram.com/p/Daho9bQMeah/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if either @british_airways or @flynorwegian changes its Instagram profile picture to the logo of the corresponding airline by July 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A modified, blended, filtered, or otherwise stylized version of the corresponding airline's logo will qualify so long as the new profile picture contains a clear representation of the logo. Any officially used symbol of the corresponding airline will qualify as the relevant logo. This includes the airline's name in text and any officially used logos from any point in the company's history. Non-qualifying profile pictures include logos of third airlines, blank profile pictures, or references to the winning country (e.g. the flag of Norway) without the logo of the corresponding airline. This market will resolve solely based on the change in each airline's profile picture. The outcome of the referenced 2026 FIFA World Cup game will have no bearing on resolution. The resolution source for this market will be the official Instagram accounts of British Airways (@british_airways) and Norwegian (@flynorwegian).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-british-or-norwegian-airways-swap-logos-on-instagram-20260710162631182
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