Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be less than $1,137,000 on September 30? | Yes | 10.1 | $0.099 | $1.97 | +$0.97 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.080 | $0.28 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 8.95 |
| $0.223 |
| $0.48 |
| -$1.52 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7.3 | $0.137 | $0.31 | -$0.69 |
 Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026? | No | 0.23 | $0.810 | $0.21 | +$0.02 |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? | Yes | 1.67 | $0.600 | $0.16 | -$0.84 |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $512,000 and $518,000 on September 30? | Yes | 1.54 | $0.651 | $0.15 | -$0.85 |
 Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.012 | $0.12 | -$0.88 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 5.75 | $0.320 | $0.12 | -$1.72 |
 Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | No | 0.25 | $0.510 | $0.12 | -$0.01 |
 Ledger IPO before 2027? | No | 0.11 | $0.900 | $0.1 | +$0 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 66.15 | $0.030 | $0.1 | -$1.9 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $3.50 on December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.34 | $0.745 | $0.08 | -$0.92 |
| Will the median home value in NYC be less than $555,000 on September 30? | Yes | 1.12 | $0.890 | $0.04 | -$0.96 |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $555,000 and $582,000 on September 30? | Yes | 1.17 | $0.856 | $0.04 | -$0.96 |
 Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? | No | 0.25 | $0.480 | $0.02 | -$0.1 |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,242,000 and $1,264,000 on September 30? | Yes | 7.79 | $0.641 | $0.02 | -$4.98 |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,220,000 and $1,242,000 on September 30? | Yes | 3.01 | $0.665 | $0.01 | -$1.99 |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,264,000 and $1,284,000 on September 30? | Yes | 1.61 | $0.620 | $0 | -$1 |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be at least $1,284,000 on September 30? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $0 | -$1 |
| sell |
| 19.7 |
| $0.016 |
| $0.32 |
| Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.004 | $0.33 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.52 | $0.047 | $0.31 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $518,000 and $524,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 1.51 | $0.102 | $0.15 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 60.47 | $0.002 | $0.12 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,201,000 and $1,216,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 10.1 | $0.018 | $0.18 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.007 | $0.44 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?Yes | sell | 7.5 | $0.060 | $0.45 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | sell | 2.32 | $0.230 | $0.53 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.89 | $0.670 | $0.6 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,198,000 and $1,220,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 3.6 | $0.110 | $0.4 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | sell | 11.23 | $0.056 | $0.63 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.06 | $0.600 | $0.64 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 3500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | sell | 2.38 | $0.270 | $0.64 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30?No | sell | 1.03 | $0.631 | $0.65 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?Yes | sell | 1.53 | $0.480 | $0.73 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be at least $542,000 on September 30?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.770 | $0.83 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.130 | $0.81 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 2.63 | $0.330 | $0.87 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,169,000 and $1,185,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.230 | $0.85 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 2.7 | $0.330 | $0.89 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the OH-14 House seat?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.906 | $0.92 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat?Yes | sell | 1.06 | $0.860 | $0.91 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.03 | $0.800 | $0.82 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 1.56 | $0.590 | $0.92 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $530,000 and $536,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 4.65 | $0.110 | $0.51 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Solana dip to $70 in July?No | sell | 1.58 | $0.560 | $0.88 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.19 | $0.790 | $0.94 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | sell | 1.66 | $0.570 | $0.95 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.820 | $0.95 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 1.14 | $0.860 | $0.98 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the OH-13 House seat?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.910 | $0.98 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027?No | sell | 1.45 | $0.510 | $0.74 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.120 | $0.92 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?Yes | sell | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will a Chinese company have one of the top 5 AI models by December 31?No | sell | 1.61 | $0.610 | $0.98 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?Yes | sell | 1.05 | $0.958 | $1.01 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No | sell | 1.61 | $0.630 | $1.01 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.150 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Jay Clayton confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by October 31?Yes | sell | 1.05 | $0.984 | $1.03 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.995 | $1.04 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | sell | 1.25 | $0.840 | $1.05 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.996 | $1.07 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Graham Platner charged by August 31?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.943 | $1.07 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 3.22 | $0.337 | $1.09 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.951 | $1.08 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.49 | $0.750 | $1.12 | Jul 28, 2026 |