Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 40.5% on 25 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 43 daily closes on record from 25 Aug 2026 to 6 Oct 2026, the highest close was 42% on 24 Sep 2026 and the lowest 1% on 6 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 1.3% on 5 Oct 2026. $6.63K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 6, 9:08 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 43 points, 25 Aug 2026 – 6 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Aug 2026 | 40.5% |
| 6 Oct 2026 | 1.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.09K |
| tunatyler | Yes | 1.59K |
| bogoljub | Yes | 284.81 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
General elections in Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026, including the election of the President and two Vice-Presidents of the political entity of Republika Srpska. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate elected to serve as President of Republika Srpska as a result of this election. A candidate elected as a Vice-President of Republika Srpska will not count. Interim, temporary, or acting Presidents of Republika Srpska will not count. If no such President has been elected by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (izbori.ba); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/republika-srpska-presidential-election-2026
| Yes |
| 241.58 |
| punat | Yes | 206.99 |
| 0x7a6a1abd | Yes | 197 |
| Bsau4 | Yes | 189.07 |
| leectram2 | Yes | 94.86 |
| oborknez | Yes | 89.85 |
| BigMoney16 | Yes | 29.19 |
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