Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 91%. Yes opened at 50% on 23 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 43 daily closes on record from 23 Apr 2026 to 4 Jun 2026, the highest close was 53.5% on 24 Apr 2026 and the lowest 2.7% on 26 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 10.5% on 26 Apr 2026. $1.23K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 5, 3:34 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 43 points, 23 Apr 2026 – 4 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Apr 2026 | 50.0% |
| 4 Jun 2026 | 9.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 70 |
| MMbot67 | Yes | 20 |
| buur | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 48th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ca-48-primary-winners
| Yes |
| 12 |
| Kronosssss | Yes | 11 |
| Grandiose-Layer | Yes | 10 |
| Gaile | Yes | 10 |
| Past-Misrepresentation | Yes | 10 |
| Juliauss | Yes | 10 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
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