Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 320 | $0.303 | $59.2 | -$37.8 |
 Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 37.04 | $0.243 | $9 | Jul 24, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 22.38 |
| $0.580 |
| $14.66 |
| +$1.68 |
 Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes | 150.91 | $0.166 | $12.6 | -$12.4 |
 Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 40 | $0.476 | $8.38 | -$10.68 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 50 | $0.681 | $7.48 | -$26.58 |
| Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 90 | $0.200 | $3.92 | -$14.09 |
 Will Ryan Flaherty be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies? | Yes | 50 | $0.020 | $3.58 | +$2.58 |
 Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware? | Yes | 50 | $0.690 | $3.3 | -$31.2 |
 Will Michael Katz be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware? | No | 50 | $0.750 | $3.25 | -$34.25 |
 Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 3.17 | $0.866 | $3.06 | +$0.32 |
 Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 20 | $0.350 | $2.9 | -$4.1 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 40 | $0.808 | $2.78 | -$29.54 |
 Will Jesús Luzardo strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season? | Yes | 20 | $0.170 | $2.63 | -$0.77 |
 Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.290 | $2.5 | -$3.3 |
| Will David Ross be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies? | Yes | 47.01 | $0.020 | $2.07 | +$1.13 |
| Will Brandon Hyde be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies? | Yes | 30 | $0.020 | $1.62 | +$1.02 |
 Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? | Yes | 20 | $0.136 | $1.56 | -$1.16 |
 Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 20 | $0.250 | $0.96 | -$4.04 |
| Will Carlos Beltran be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies? | Yes | 39.97 | $0.020 | $0.82 | +$0.02 |
 Will Zdenko Lučić be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? | Yes | 20 | $0.120 | $0.42 | -$1.98 |
 Will John Coupar win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | Yes | 20 | $0.140 | $0.27 | -$2.53 |
| Will Tarik Skubal strike out the most batters during the 2026 MLB regular season? | Yes | 20 | $0.240 | $0.12 | -$4.68 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.280 | $0.09 | -$5.51 |
| buy |
| 107 |
| $0.243 |
| $26 |
| Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.004 | $10 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?No | sell | 20 | $0.630 | $12.6 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Julián Álvarez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 19.99 | $0.580 | $11.59 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.100 | $25 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.777 | $15.53 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.030 | $5 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-27?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.057 | $3 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.333 | $6.65 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Florian Wirtz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 20 | $0.400 | $8 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.087 | $1.74 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Suzzanna V. Tanner advance to the general election for WA-03?No | sell | 4.07 | $0.987 | $4.02 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?No | sell | 11.22 | $0.480 | $5.39 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?No | sell | 8.78 | $0.580 | $5.09 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Nechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?No | sell | 20 | $0.924 | $18.48 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.930 | $18.6 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.778 | $15.56 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.910 | $18.2 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?No | sell | 89.99 | $0.366 | $32.9 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?No | sell | 10.01 | $0.400 | $4 | May 20, 2026 |
 Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 120.75 | $0.083 | $10 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?No | sell | 20 | $0.580 | $11.6 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?No | sell | 20 | $0.810 | $16.2 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | sell | 20 | $0.808 | $16.16 | May 14, 2026 |
 Will SV Elversberg achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.839 | $16.79 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will SoftBank HAWKS gaming qualify for EWC 2026?Yes | sell | 39.51 | $0.925 | $36.56 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.950 | $19 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Alex Borg be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?No | sell | 20 | $0.972 | $19.44 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will KaBuM! IDL win CD 2026 Split 1?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.609 | $24.34 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will "Batman" be said on ICEMAN?No | sell | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 576.92 | $0.026 | $15 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will "Knife" be said 5+ times during the CS IEM Rio 2026 Grand Final?Yes | sell | 18.33 | $0.910 | $16.68 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?No | sell | 85.99 | $0.931 | $80.07 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?No | sell | 50 | $0.770 | $38.5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Starmer say "War" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.921 | $18.43 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown end between April 21-24, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.013 | $1.25 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Yes | buy | 340.25 | $0.006 | $2 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?Yes | buy | 119.79 | $0.017 | $2 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?No | sell | 20 | $0.630 | $12.6 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.014 | $1.4 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Solana dip to $60 in March?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.013 | $0.13 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.011 | $2.2 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?Yes | sell | 3.96 | $0.662 | $2.62 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.620 | $12.4 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Conservative win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No | sell | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31?No | sell | 6.48 | $0.980 | $6.35 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | sell | 79.02 | $0.830 | $65.59 | Mar 24, 2026 |