Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 41% on 14 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 90 daily closes on record from 14 Jul 2026 to 11 Oct 2026, the highest close was 44% on 31 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 18 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 38% on 19 Jul 2026. $15.89K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 12, 5:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 90 points, 14 Jul 2026 – 11 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jul 2026 | 41.0% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 7.58K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 1.68K |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 180 |
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is expected to hold a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections in October 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) to contest the 2027 French presidential elections. If no nominee is announced by April 17, 2027, 11:59PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/. Any replacement of the nominee before the 2027 French presidential elections will not change the resolution of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/socialist-party-of-france-presidential-nominee-20260710182042067
| mustbethewater | Yes | 150 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 133.24 |
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 100 |
| jiehfof | Yes | 69.52 |
| Affectionate-Monger | Yes | 60.02 |
| asdasdasdasdasdasdasd | Yes | 60 |
| oliman2 | Yes | 50.44 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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