What is the “Will Black Sea ceasefire go into effect before May?” market asking?
It asks whether the following will happen: Will Black Sea ceasefire go into effect before May? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?
At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?
Trading is scheduled to close on Apr 30, 2025. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?
On March 25, Minister of Defenсe of Ukraine Rustem Umerov announced an agreement to “cease the use of force, and to prevent the use of commercial vessels for military purposes in the Black Sea." (see: https://x.com/rustem_umerov/status/1904549644463427740) This market will resolve to “Yes” if an agreement between Russia and Ukraine to suspend or end military actions on the Black Sea goes into effect by April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means that a qualifying deal is actively implemented for any amount…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?
24h volume ($62.22K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
$32.37K
Yes sell at 0.1%
History rangePolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation May 1, 12:00 AM
Vultax loaded 2 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 100.0% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?
Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated May 2, 8:20 AM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.
Can I trade this market on Vultax?
No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-black-sea-ceasefire-go-into-effect-before-may) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.
