Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?

Resolved

No, settled May 11, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$202.1K

Resolved

Settled

May 11, 2026 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved No on 11 May 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 10% on 5 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 5 May 2026 to 11 May 2026, the highest close was 13% on 6 May 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 11 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 1.3% on 8 May 2026. $202.05K traded over the market's life.

63 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 12, 4:22 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 5 May 2026 – 11 May 2026, chart shows 0%–20%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
5 May 2026	10.0%
11 May 2026	0.4%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Time.	Yes	37.99K
Twin-Amnesty	Yes	9.98K
mango0x	Yes	2.31K
Cobalt Atlas 10F1	Yes	1.18K

10 of 63 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.