Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?

Resolved

70k, settled Feb 5, 2026 UTC

70k

100.0%

90k

0.0%

Final 70k 100¢Final 90k 0¢

Lifetime volume

$97.5K

Resolved

70k

Settled

Feb 5, 2026 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved 70k on 5 Feb 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had 70k at 78.5%. The 70k side opened at 56% on 1 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2026 to 5 Feb 2026, the highest close was 78.5% on 5 Feb 2026 and the lowest 56% on 1 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points up, to 67.5% on 2 Feb 2026. $97.47K traded over the market's life.

142 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 6, 4:25 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the 70k price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 1 Feb 2026 – 5 Feb 2026, chart shows 50%–90%

70k price, first and latest
Observed	70k price
1 Feb 2026	56.0%
5 Feb 2026	78.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Monumental-Practitioner	90k	2.19K
oak	90k	1.59K
chickengambler	90k	1.48K
Pitu2123	90k	1.09K

10 of 142 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Bitcoin’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between January 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if Bitcoin’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period. If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.