Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $120k first?

Resolved

100k, settled Nov 4, 2025 UTC

100k

100.0%

120k

0.0%

Final 100k 100¢Final 120k 0¢

Lifetime volume

$143.0K

Resolved

100k

Settled

Nov 4, 2025 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved 100k on 4 Nov 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had 100k at 61%. The 100k side opened at 20.5% on 13 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 23 daily closes on record from 13 Oct 2025 to 4 Nov 2025, the highest close was 63.5% on 18 Oct 2025 and the lowest 18.5% on 14 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 56% on 17 Oct 2025. $143.04K traded over the market's life.

121 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Nov 6, 12:26 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the 100k price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 13 Oct 2025 – 4 Nov 2025

100k price, first and latest
Observed	100k price
13 Oct 2025	20.5%
4 Nov 2025	61.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
0Ryu0	120k	5.52K
Eatplantsnotanimals	120k	3.01K
Bright Horizon 81D6	120k	1.73K
Phatsuit	120k	1.16K

10 of 121 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Bitcoin’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between October 12, 2025 at 10:00 AM ET and December 31, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if Bitcoin’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period. If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.