Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 37% on 30 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 30 Dec 2025 to 5 Jan 2026, the highest close was 37% on 30 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 5 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 15% on 31 Dec 2025. $505.87K traded over the market's life.
69 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 6, 8:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 30 Dec 2025 – 5 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | 37.0% |
| 5 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SamuelFord | Yes | 59.1K |
| Jazminy | Yes | 45K |
| THAI420 | Yes | 20.71K |
| CryptoVadikOne-tg | Yes | 11.5K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What price will Bitcoin hit December 29-January 4?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-december-29-january-4
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| Zigzag-Flow | Yes | 10.35K |
| Zz2025zZ | Yes | 6.89K |
| Nadin592 | Yes | 6K |
| wweqw | Yes | 5.78K |
| qqqq88888 | Yes | 4.45K |
| ACSA | Yes | 4K |
