Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.68K | $0.200 | $336.4 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 842.11 |
| $0.190 |
| $160 |
| Jan 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.21K | $0.031 | $500 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.36K | $0.030 | $160.54 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 769.23 | $0.209 | $160.54 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 13.69K | $0.009 | $123.24 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 28.57K | $0.007 | $200 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 5.64K | $0.501 | $2.82K | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 3.81K | $0.220 | $837.59 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 2.27K | $0.220 | $500 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.630 | $700 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 802.36 | $0.623 | $500 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 405.6 | $0.493 | $200 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.6K | $0.438 | $700 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.330 | $500 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.62K | $0.205 | $740 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.17K | $0.514 | $600 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 991.51 | $0.504 | $500 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 415.32 | $0.482 | $200 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33K | $0.120 | $1K | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.36K | $0.369 | $1.24K | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.64K | $0.267 | $1.24K | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.64K | $0.425 | $1.97K | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.73K | $0.085 | $1K | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.61K | $0.070 | $112.39 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.64K | $0.226 | $2.86K | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 2.55K | $0.058 | $148.56 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 8.82K | $0.017 | $148.56 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.64K | $0.188 | $2K | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 414.7 | $0.430 | $178.32 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.260 | $200 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 849.37 | $0.306 | $260 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ETUp | buy | 53.45 | $0.080 | $4.28 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 12?No | buy | 661.05 | $0.021 | $14 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 12?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 12?No | buy | 258.54 | $0.019 | $5 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 888.89 | $0.090 | $80 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.85K | $0.042 | $160 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.200 | $100 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.200 | $100 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 716.67 | $0.084 | $60 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.200 | $400 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 12?No | buy | 3.52K | $0.006 | $20 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 12?No | buy | 3.52K | $0.028 | $100 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.5K | $0.106 | $798.15 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.95K | $0.300 | $1.19K | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 40.67K | $0.200 | $8.13K | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 29.11K | $0.397 | $11.57K | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 27.32K | $0.056 | $1.53K | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.75K | $0.070 | $122.16 | Jan 11, 2026 |