Analytics
Yes is at 1.2%, down 22 points from 23.5% when the market opened on 3 Nov 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 3 Nov 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 23.5% on 3 Nov 2026 and the lowest 1.2% on 5 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 2.5% on 5 Nov 2026.
It is one of 14 markets under “What price will Bitcoin hit November 2-8?”.
$31.03K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $57.45K since listing. The order book holds $65.63K, with a 0.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 387 trades, $2.54K bought Yes and $19.65K bought No; the largest was a $2.6K buy of No at 85.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Quiet Falcon 3CA7 with 7.8K shares; the largest No position is Impressive-Steak with 4.4K. Ten wallets hold 61.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 9 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 9:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 3 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Nov 2026 | 23.5% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 1.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Quiet Falcon 3CA7 | Yes | 7.79K |
| Impressive-Steak | No | 4.42K |
| justdance | No | 4.14K |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-november-2-8-2026
2 more markets, none above 0.4%.
| PhongLeXBT |
| Yes |
| 2.38K |
| cryptodebil | Yes | 2.2K |
| d5BDa0A44B659581 | Yes | 2.13K |
| Bold Pioneer 9272 | No | 2K |
| iagoWFLD | Yes | 1.86K |
| balthazar | Yes | 1.85K |
| 0xDB5 | No | 1.7K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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