Analytics
Resolved No on 4 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 14.5% on 28 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 28 Apr 2026 to 4 May 2026, the highest close was 20% on 29 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 4 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 5.5% on 1 May 2026. $118.51K traded over the market's life.
85 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 4, 11:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 28 Apr 2026 – 4 May 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Apr 2026 | 14.5% |
| 4 May 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bamsauce8833 | Yes | 3.3K |
| Solar Lynx 5578 | Yes | 2.57K |
| Time. | Yes | 2.43K |
| kederrac | Yes | 2.36K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What price will Bitcoin hit April 27-May 3?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-april-27-may-3
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| khanbnu | Yes | 2.05K |
| SingW | Yes | 1.98K |
| acal | Yes | 1.7K |
| mango0x | Yes | 1.6K |
| Kosta000 | Yes | 1.57K |
| KOMZY | Yes | 1.5K |
