Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?

Resolved

No, settled May 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.1M

Resolved

Settled

May 1, 2026 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 May 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 20.5% on 22 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 22 Apr 2026 to 1 May 2026, the highest close was 20.5% on 22 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 10.5% on 23 Apr 2026. $1.09M traded over the market's life.

221 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 2, 6:48 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 1 May 2026, chart shows 0%–25%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Super-Locust	Yes	29.53K
Keen Falcon D40C	Yes	18.41K
Fatal-Chemical	Yes	11.38K
99problems123	Yes	9.8K

10 of 221 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from the creation of this market to April 30, 11:59 PM ET), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.