Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 5.8%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 12 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 12 Aug 2025 to 18 Aug 2025, the highest close was 51.5% on 12 Aug 2025 and the lowest 5.8% on 18 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 36 points up, to 46% on 15 Aug 2025. $421.98K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 19, 8:43 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 12 Aug 2025 – 18 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2025 | 51.5% |
| 18 Aug 2025 | 5.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| affs20791 | No | 3K |
| lordedward | No | 2.56K |
| Coral Horizon 92F9 | No | 2K |
| popravkin777 | No | 632.91 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-august-11-17
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| Zapster15 | No | 153.18 |
| nickthereal7 | No | 100 |
| dmifu3mo2 | No | 77.87 |
| 0x59900e | No | 76.91 |
| alexdeus | No | 62.15 |
| Trusty-Wormhole | No | 23.57 |
