What is the “Will Binance pay >$4b to settle with the US?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will Binance pay >$4b to settle with the US? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved Yes on 21 Nov 2023. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Binance Holdings Ltd. pays >$4,000,000,000.00 to settle any legal case with the United States by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution for this market will be official information from Binance Holdings Ltd., however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Nov 22, 9:58 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-binance-pay-4b-to-settle-with-the-us) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved Yes: Will Binance pay >$4b to settle with the US?

Market referencewill-binance-pay-4b-to-settle-with-the-usUpdated Nov 22, 2023 UTC

Resolved

Yes · settled Nov 21, 2023 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$23.5K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Nov 21, 2023 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Mar 22, 2024 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Nov 22, 2023 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

Yes

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

Yes / No shares

The provider top-holder sample is currently unavailable.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

Wallets

Loaded notional

TradesRecent market trade tape linked back into trader pages.

Full tapeCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
ImJustKen	buy	Yes	99.9%	2K	Nov 21, 9:54 PM UTC
50Whence	buy	Yes

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will Binance pay >$4b to settle with the US?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will Binance pay >$4b to settle with the US? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 100.0¢ and No at 0.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 100.0% for Yes and 0.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved Yes on 21 Nov 2023. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Binance Holdings Ltd. pays >$4,000,000,000.00 to settle any legal case with the United States by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution for this market will be official information from Binance Holdings Ltd., however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Analytics

Trader

Side

Outcome

Price

Time

ImJustKen

buy

Yes

99.9%

Nov 21, 9:54 PM UTC

50Whence

buy

Yes