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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.069 | $69.33 | Dec 12, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 818.26 |
| $0.153 |
| $124.88 |
| Dec 12, 2025 |
 Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?Yes | sell | 23.81 | $0.390 | $9.29 | Dec 12, 2025 |
 Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?No | buy | 24.2 | $0.250 | $6.05 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?No | buy | 53.68 | $0.940 | $50.46 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 35K | $0.001 | $35 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on Friday?No Change | buy | 1.51K | $0.038 | $57 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 3.35K | $0.007 | $23 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 3.03K | $0.038 | $115 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Shooter identity released by tonight?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.040 | $3.2 | Jul 14, 2024 |
| Shooter identity released by tonight?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.040 | $8 | Jul 14, 2024 |
| Shooter identity released by tonight?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.040 | $1.2 | Jul 14, 2024 |
| Shooter identity released by tonight?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.146 | $145.9 | Jul 14, 2024 |
| Shooter identity released by tonight?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.103 | $103.1 | Jul 14, 2024 |
 Ilya joins a new company?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.140 | $50 | May 16, 2024 |
| Will Ilya join X?Yes | buy | 1.71K | $0.029 | $50 | May 16, 2024 |
| Will Ilya join Google?Yes | buy | 1.61K | $0.024 | $39 | May 16, 2024 |
 Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross less than $110m opening weekend?Yes | sell | 77 | $0.070 | $5.39 | May 16, 2024 |
| Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross less than $110m opening weekend?Yes | sell | 1.15K | $0.090 | $103.5 | May 16, 2024 |
| Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross less than $110m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 1.23K | $0.070 | $86.16 | Apr 20, 2024 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.76K | $0.019 | $33.41 | Feb 21, 2024 |
 “All I want for Christmas is You” #1 on Billboard Hot 100 first week of 2024?Yes | buy | 21.05 | $0.038 | $0.8 | Jan 1, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 31, 2024?Yes | buy | 1.49K | $0.018 | $26.81 | Dec 6, 2023 |
 CZ jail in 2023?Yes | buy | 2.57K | $0.019 | $48.92 | Nov 28, 2023 |
| CZ jail in 2023?Yes | buy | 393.26 | $0.019 | $7.47 | Nov 28, 2023 |
 Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1?Yes | sell | 250.11 | $0.029 | $7.28 | Nov 28, 2023 |
| CZ jail in 2023?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.042 | $48.87 | Nov 27, 2023 |
| CZ jail in 2023?Yes | buy | 224.63 | $0.039 | $8.78 | Nov 27, 2023 |
| Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1?Yes | buy | 250.11 | $0.060 | $14.96 | Nov 26, 2023 |
 Sam back as CEO of OpenAI?No | sell | 1K | $0.015 | $15 | Nov 26, 2023 |
 Will 'Wish' gross over $55m over its 5-day opening weekend?Yes | buy | 1.79K | $0.016 | $27.82 | Nov 25, 2023 |
| Will 'Wish' gross over $55m over its 5-day opening weekend?Yes | buy | 222 | $0.050 | $11.1 | Nov 25, 2023 |
| Will 'Wish' gross over $55m over its 5-day opening weekend?Yes | buy | 472 | $0.040 | $18.88 | Nov 25, 2023 |
| Will 'Wish' gross over $55m over its 5-day opening weekend?Yes | buy | 472 | $0.030 | $14.16 | Nov 25, 2023 |
| Will 'Wish' gross over $55m over its 5-day opening weekend?Yes | buy | 304 | $0.025 | $7.6 | Nov 25, 2023 |
| Will 'Wish' gross over $55m over its 5-day opening weekend?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.013 | $26.68 | Nov 25, 2023 |
| Will 'Wish' gross over $55m over its 5-day opening weekend?Yes | buy | 999 | $0.017 | $17.2 | Nov 25, 2023 |
| Will 'Wish' gross over $55m over its 5-day opening weekend?Yes | buy | 472 | $0.010 | $4.56 | Nov 25, 2023 |
| Will 'Wish' gross over $55m over its 5-day opening weekend?Yes | buy | 472 | $0.010 | $4.72 | Nov 25, 2023 |
| Will 'Wish' gross over $55m over its 5-day opening weekend?Yes | buy | 472 | $0.005 | $2.36 | Nov 25, 2023 |
| Will 'Wish' gross over $55m over its 5-day opening weekend?Yes | buy | 222 | $0.050 | $11.1 | Nov 25, 2023 |
| Will 'Wish' gross over $55m over its 5-day opening weekend?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.008 | $8.33 | Nov 25, 2023 |
| Will 'Wish' gross over $55m over its 5-day opening weekend?Yes | buy | 472 | $0.002 | $0.94 | Nov 25, 2023 |
 Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week?Yes | buy | 237.36 | $0.250 | $59.34 | Nov 24, 2023 |
| Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week?No | sell | 79.12 | $0.750 | $59.34 | Nov 24, 2023 |
| Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week?No | buy | 79.13 | $0.949 | $75.09 | Nov 22, 2023 |
 Sam Altman criminal charges by Nov 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.009 | $9 | Nov 22, 2023 |
| Sam Altman criminal charges by Nov 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.009 | $9 | Nov 22, 2023 |
 Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.030 | $10 | Nov 22, 2023 |
 Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its December meeting?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.030 | $10 | Nov 22, 2023 |