
Resolved No on 19 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 85%. Yes opened at 45% on 14 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 14 Nov 2025 to 19 Nov 2025, the highest close was 45% on 14 Nov 2025 and the lowest 13.5% on 17 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 35.5% on 18 Nov 2025. $454.15 traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 20, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 14 Nov 2025 – 19 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2025 | 45.0% |
| 19 Nov 2025 | 15.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 100 |
| artfart | Yes | 27.78 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| FREDDYDYER | Yes | 2.22 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Bill Ackman is scheduled to participate in a Space on X.com about Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac on November 18, 2025, 10:30 AM (ET https://x.com/BillAckman/status/1989004405392240688). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bill Ackman says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about the scheduled Space event featuring Bill Ackman on X.com on November 18, 2025 (https://x.com/BillAckman/status/1989004405392240688). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by November 18, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-bill-ackman-say-during-the-x-space-on-november-18
| Egalmar | Yes | 1.01 |
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