Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Affordable" or "Affordability" 5+ times during Pennsylvania events on December 9?No | buy | 34.34 | $0.370 | $12.71 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 125 |
| $0.090 |
| $11.25 |
| Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Olympics" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?No | buy | 49.35 | $0.310 | $15.3 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Border" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?No | buy | 40 | $0.630 | $25.2 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?No | buy | 5 | $0.710 | $3.55 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times at the FIFA World Cup Draw on December 5?No | buy | 30 | $0.670 | $20.1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Oracle say "Debt" during earnings call?No | buy | 188 | $0.050 | $9.4 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Beautiful" or "Job" 5+ times at Christmas Tree Lighting on December 4?No | buy | 70 | $0.290 | $20.3 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Peace" or "War" at Christmas Tree Lighting on December 4?No | buy | 130 | $0.160 | $20.8 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "November 5th" or "Election" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?No | buy | 25 | $0.600 | $15 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Border" or "Tariff" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?No | buy | 25 | $0.630 | $15.75 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Hottest" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?No | buy | 25 | $0.470 | $11.75 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "National Guard" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?No | buy | 25 | $0.630 | $15.75 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Rambo" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?No | buy | 25 | $0.500 | $12.5 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "DEI" or "Woke" or "Women's sports" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?No | buy | 25 | $0.530 | $13.25 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Rambo" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?No | buy | 5 | $0.490 | $2.45 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Eight wars" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?No | sell | 70 | $0.940 | $65.8 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Cramer say "Money" 20+ times during TBPN on December 4?No | sell | 8.36 | $0.650 | $5.43 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "God" or "Jesus" 5+ times at Christmas Tree Lighting on December 4?No | buy | 70 | $0.320 | $22.4 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 7+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?No | buy | 26 | $0.390 | $10.14 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Boat" or "Terrorist" during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?No | buy | 29 | $0.140 | $4.06 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?No | buy | 55 | $0.380 | $20.9 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Tax" or "Deductible" 5+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?No | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Snowflake say "Repurchase" during earnings call?No | buy | 26 | $0.150 | $3.9 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Tariff" during call with Service Members on November 27?No | buy | 40 | $0.560 | $22.4 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Shutdown" or "Shut down" during December press conference?No | buy | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during call with Service Members on November 27?No | buy | 43 | $0.680 | $29.24 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast say "Burger" or "Hamburger" at the NYT DealBook Summit?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Nov 26, 2025 |
 Will Brian Armstrong say "Prediction Market" at the Coinbase product showcase on December 17?No | buy | 13 | $0.160 | $2.08 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Walmart say "Automotive" during earnings call?No | buy | 66.42 | $0.010 | $0.66 | Nov 20, 2025 |
| Will Walmart say "Omnichannel" during earnings call?No | buy | 402.05 | $0.010 | $4.02 | Nov 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in November?Yes | sell | 67.63 | $0.110 | $7.44 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference?Yes | buy | 8.76 | $0.810 | $7.1 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump say "Erdogan" during Syria President events on November 10?No | sell | 10 | $0.990 | $9.9 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Shutdown" or "Shut down" during December press conference?No | buy | 15 | $0.340 | $5.1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No | sell | 5 | $0.880 | $4.4 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Trump" during Hungary PM events on November 7?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.440 | $2.64 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Percent" 5+ times during Hungary PM events on November 7?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Through the roof" during Hungary PM events on November 7?No | buy | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Eight Wars" during Hungary PM events on November 7?No | buy | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | Nov 7, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Putin" during Hungary PM events on November 7?No | sell | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Caspian Sea" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?No | sell | 6 | $0.770 | $4.62 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during C5+1 Summit on November 6?No | buy | 8 | $0.390 | $3.12 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Rare Earth" or "Critical Mineral" during C5+1 Summit on November 6?No | sell | 6.88 | $0.280 | $1.93 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will CAVA say "Same Store" during earnings call?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.690 | $6.9 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his victory/concession speech?No | buy | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani say "Fascism" or "Fascist" during his victory/concession speech?No | buy | 5 | $0.670 | $3.35 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani say "Trump" during his victory/concession speech?No | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani say "Anti-semitic" during his victory/concession speech?No | buy | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | Nov 4, 2025 |