Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Feb 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 50% on 9 Feb 2024. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 9 Feb 2024 to 17 Feb 2024, the highest close was 50% on 9 Feb 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 17 Feb 2024. Its largest one-day move was 47 points down, to 3.3% on 10 Feb 2024. $670.99K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 18, 7:09 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 9 Feb 2024 – 17 Feb 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Feb 2024 | 50.0% |
| 17 Feb 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| drinking | Yes | 38.07K |
| 11235813 | Yes | 5.01K |
| Dragonx | Yes | 2.72K |
| Polymarkertr2828 | Yes | 974.29 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Joe Biden officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race by February 16, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent Joe Biden from continuing the race within the market timeframe, this market will also resolve to "Yes". If Joe Biden does not drop out or is not forced to withdraw from the 2024 Presidential Election by 12:00 AM ET on February 17, 2024, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Joe Biden or his official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-biden-drop-out-by-next-friday
| principoshi | Yes | 272.73 |
| redders | Yes | 197.41 |
| Danone1 | Yes | 166.67 |
| Jiiaa | Yes | 45.45 |
| tsunami | No | 1.01 |
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