Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 49.89 | $0.600 | $29.93 | Nov 20, 2024 |
 |
| buy |
| 37.97 |
| $0.013 |
| $0.49 |
| Nov 18, 2024 |
| Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?No | buy | 301.23 | $0.810 | $244 | Nov 10, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.607 | $42.5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?No | sell | 50 | $0.390 | $19.5 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?No | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Pennsylvania be the closest state?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.220 | $15.4 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris blowout victory?No | buy | 70 | $0.810 | $56.7 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 68.97 | $0.580 | $40 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.420 | $21 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.364 | $18.2 | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.635 | $127 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will there be another debate?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.022 | $2.2 | Oct 26, 2024 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Oct 26, 2024 |
 Another Iran strike on Israel in October?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Oct 26, 2024 |
 Trump sentenced to no prison time?Yes | sell | 31.64 | $0.985 | $31.17 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 40 | $0.700 | $28 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Will Biden resign before the election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.035 | $17.5 | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.528 | $105.6 | Oct 8, 2024 |
| Will Biden resign before the election?Yes | buy | 501.55 | $0.020 | $10 | Oct 2, 2024 |
 Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.757 | $22.71 | Oct 2, 2024 |
 Will weed be rescheduled in 2024?No | sell | 62.5 | $0.920 | $57.5 | Oct 2, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?No | sell | 69 | $0.120 | $8.28 | Oct 2, 2024 |
 Who will win the VP debate according to polls?Vance | buy | 30 | $0.660 | $19.8 | Oct 2, 2024 |
| Will there be another debate?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Oct 2, 2024 |
| Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 69 | $0.150 | $10.35 | Sep 28, 2024 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.013 | $10 | Sep 17, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?No | buy | 60 | $0.510 | $30.6 | Sep 17, 2024 |
 Who will win the debate according to polls?Trump | buy | 300 | $0.110 | $33 | Sep 11, 2024 |
 Will Serbia win Gold in Men's Basketball?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jul 26, 2024 |
 RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Jul 26, 2024 |
 Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | sell | 388.88 | $0.065 | $25.28 | Jul 22, 2024 |
 Biden drops out in July?No | buy | 11.13 | $0.460 | $5.12 | Jul 19, 2024 |
 Biden drops out of presidential race?No | sell | 52.63 | $0.480 | $25.26 | Jul 17, 2024 |
| Biden drops out of presidential race?No | buy | 52.63 | $0.380 | $20 | Jul 3, 2024 |
| Biden drops out of presidential race?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.720 | $120 | Jul 3, 2024 |
| Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.040 | $40.41 | Jul 1, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Rigged" during the debate?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | Jun 26, 2024 |
 Will Serbia win the 2024 Euros?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | Jun 22, 2024 |
 Will another team win the 2024 Euros?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.021 | $3 | Jun 22, 2024 |
| Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.024 | $20 | Jun 19, 2024 |
 Trump + Biden debate on June 27 as planned?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jun 12, 2024 |
| Biden drops out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.240 | $40 | Jun 6, 2024 |
| Will weed be rescheduled in 2024?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.480 | $30 | Jun 6, 2024 |
| Trump sentenced to no prison time?Yes | buy | 31.65 | $0.790 | $25 | Jun 6, 2024 |
| Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.009 | $5 | Jun 6, 2024 |
 [Single Market] Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.050 | $15 | May 27, 2024 |
 SBF sentenced to 50+ years?Yes | buy | 67.11 | $0.190 | $12.75 | Mar 15, 2024 |
 Fed rate cut by June 12?No | sell | 30.3 | $0.421 | $12.76 | Mar 15, 2024 |
| SBF sentenced to 50+ years?Yes | buy | 55.68 | $0.190 | $10.58 | Mar 15, 2024 |