Analytics
Resolved No on 13 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 48% on 31 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 100 daily closes on record from 31 Jan 2026 to 13 May 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 52.8% on 4 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.8% on 7 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 16.5% on 6 Mar 2026. $18.23K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 14, 6:59 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 100 points, 31 Jan 2026 – 13 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | 48.0% |
| 13 May 2026 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| grinopro | Yes | 1K |
| legopen | Yes | 1K |
| sparklepen | Yes | 1K |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-vote-to-confirm-kevin-warsh-as-fed-chair
| Yes |
| 1K |
| catgrino | Yes | 1K |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| fm14 | Yes | 100 |
| ma99 | Yes | 100 |
| akunai | Yes | 100 |
| maybebrian | Yes | 80 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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