Analytics
Trading ended on 28 Oct 2026 with Yes at 41%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 320 daily closes on record from 16 Nov 2025 to 30 Oct 2026 (30 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 63.5% on 3 Mar 2026 and the lowest 25% on 28 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 27.5%; a month before, 30.5%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 39.5% on 17 Mar 2026.
It is one of 19 markets under “Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?”.
$30.29M has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is Outlandish-Boxspring with 582.5K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 910.1K. Ten wallets hold 35% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 2:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 320 points, 16 Nov 2025 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Nov 2025 | 52.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 41.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 910.14K |
| NoCryInCasino | No | 599.92K |
| Outlandish-Boxspring | Yes | 582.49K |
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election
7 more markets, none above 0.1%.
| flawfence | No | 497.22K |
| wan123 | No | 461.46K |
| pikachusplace | Yes | 393.7K |
| dromedaryy | No | 371.21K |
| OnlyBibi2026 | Yes | 345.5K |
| foodenjoyer | No | 330.32K |
| NeverGaveUp | Yes | 325.58K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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