Will Baylor make College Football Playoff Semifinals?

sportsAwaiting resolution

Ended Aug 28, 2026 UTC

Yes

47.0%

53.0%

Observed Yes 46.95¢Observed No 53.05¢

Lifetime volume

$60

Ended

Aug 28, 2026 UTC

Topic roomCollege Football

Where it stands

Trading ended on 28 Aug 2026 with Yes at 46.9%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.

Across the 78 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51.7% on 31 Aug 2026 and the lowest 3% on 10 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 42.5%; a month before, 5.7%. Its largest one-day move was 44 points down, to 8.2% on 1 Sep 2026.

It is one of 50 markets under “NCAA Football: CFB Playoffs team to make Semis”.

$60 has traded since listing.

The largest Yes position is Haradwaith with 10 shares; the largest No position is justmeandme with 10.

Polymarket record as of Oct 30, 6:31 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 78 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026

Same event

NCAA Football: CFB Playoffs team to make Semis

37 more markets, none above 48.0%.

Largest holders

The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Haradwaith	Yes	10
justmeandme	No	10

2 of 2 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

What settles this market

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team reaches the semifinal round of the 2026 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". The "semifinal round" refers to the round of the 12-team College Football Playoff for the 2026 season in which four teams remain (the winners of the four quarterfinal games). A team counts as reaching the semifinals if it is scheduled to play in a semifinal game by winning its quarterfinal game. If the College Football Playoff for the 2026 season is canceled or the semifinal round is not played by January 28, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff (https://collegefootballplayoff.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.