Analytics
Yes is at 12.3%, down 5.2 points from 17.5% when the market opened on 17 Jul 2026.
Across the 99 daily closes on record from 17 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 44.4% on 28 Jul 2026 and the lowest 2.1% on 18 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 14%; a month before, 10.1%. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 11.5% on 25 Sep 2026.
Babydoll – Dominic Fike ranks second of the 14 outcomes in “Top Spotify Song 2026”. End of Beginning – Djo leads at 83.3%; Swim – BTS is at 0.1%.
$4.9K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $74.56K since listing. The order book holds $8.64K, with a 2.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.87K bought Yes and $6.89K bought No.
The largest Yes position is 0xdc3E831cad with 7.3K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 5.9K. Ten wallets hold 82.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Feb 2027, 94 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 2:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 99 points, 17 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jul 2026 | 17.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 12.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xdc3E831cad | Yes | 7.33K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.89K |
| buoys | Yes | 2.67K |
Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed song (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify song globally for 2026. This market will resolve according to the name of the song listed by Spotify as the top song of 2026. If multiple songs tie for top song for 2026, this market will resolve according to the song whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If Spotify does not release who their top song for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. Note: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/top-song-2026-20260714195249188
2 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| eNakeVets |
| No |
| 2.3K |
| FelicityBright | No | 1.15K |
| chocolate123 | Yes | 701.27 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 651.43 |
| pengu-n | No | 553.13 |
| algo168 | No | 500 |
| marksman | No | 497 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
