Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 62.5%. Yes opened at 55.5% on 25 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 25 Jun 2026 to 3 Jul 2026, the highest close was 62.5% on 3 Jul 2026 and the lowest 45.5% on 26 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 59.5% on 27 Jun 2026. $225 traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Aug 25, 5:58 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 25 Jun 2026 – 3 Jul 2026, chart shows 40%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jun 2026 | 55.5% |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 62.5% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
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Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-avalanche-hit-before-2027
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