Analytics
Resolved Yes on 20 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 15% on 25 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 20 Sep 2026 and the low 15% on 25 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 55 points up, to 100% on 20 Sep 2026. $720.8 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 88 points · 25 Jun 2026 – 20 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jun 2026 | 15.0% |
| 20 Sep 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Royal Vector E768 | Yes | 0.82 |
| paddapadda | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Avalanche (AVAX/USDT) between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026, 23:59 ET has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the AVAX/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/AVAX_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Only the Binance AVAX/USDT price feed will be used. Prices from other exchanges, trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-avalanche-hit-before-2027
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