Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 19 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 128 daily closes on record from 19 Aug 2025 to 23 Dec 2025, the highest close was 39.5% on 6 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 23 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 11% on 26 Aug 2025. $45.15K traded over the market's life.
54 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 19, 3:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 128 points, 19 Aug 2025 – 23 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Aug 2025 | 25.5% |
| 23 Dec 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 14.74K |
| 854A7843 | Yes | 3.14K |
| MasonsConqueredRome | Yes | 2.21K |
This is a market group over which movie will make the third most money over its opening weekend in 2025.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-movie-has-third-biggest-opening-weekend-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| LukeGamma | Yes | 1.5K |
| Anjun | Yes | 1.38K |
| bobmarquist | Yes | 719.99 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 716 |
| Hopeloid | Yes | 594.5 |
| Multicolored-Waterfall | Yes | 590 |
| Valeronovvv | Yes | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
