Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 6 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 60 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2026 to 4 Oct 2026, the highest close was 56% on 10 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 4 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 56% on 10 Aug 2026. $4.34K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 4, 5:05 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 60 points, 6 Aug 2026 – 4 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | 25.5% |
| 4 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.83K |
| Devoted-Route | Yes | 1.25K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 783.47 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election. The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/latvian-parliamentary-election-2nd-place
| Yes |
| 458.98 |
| balthazar | Yes | 391.25 |
| qqqmmmccc | Yes | 226.26 |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 150 |
| crossFiter | Yes | 115.79 |
| Bsau4 | Yes | 102.59 |
| emiiils | Yes | 54.47 |
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