Will anyone say "Cybersecurity" during the Q4 2025 Microsoft earnings call?

Resolved

No, settled Jul 31, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$2.6K

Resolved

Settled

Jul 31, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 31 Jul 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 50.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 22 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 22 Jul 2025 to 31 Jul 2025, the highest close was 58.5% on 24 Jul 2025 and the lowest 35.5% on 30 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 49.5% on 31 Jul 2025. $2.6K traded over the market's life.

12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 1, 12:51 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 22 Jul 2025 – 31 Jul 2025, chart shows 30%–70%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
22 Jul 2025	49.0%
31 Jul 2025	49.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
MobyBid	Yes	310.88
Bright Vector F38B	Yes	119.8
S888	Yes	80.37
zachary227	Yes	40

10 of 12 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The Microsoft Q4 earnings call is scheduled to take place on July 30th, 2025. (https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/investor/events/fy-2025/earnings-fy-2025-q4). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio of the event.