Analytics
Yes is at 77%, down 14 points from 91% when the market opened on 30 Oct 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 30 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026, the highest close was 91% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 77.5% on 30 Oct 2026. The current quote, 77%, is below every close in that window; the latest close was 77.5% on 30 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 77.5% on 30 Oct 2026.
Other is the favourite of the 22 outcomes in “Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?”, ahead of OpenAI at 3.2%.
$2.9K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.11K since listing. The order book holds $253.86, with a 8.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 79 trades, $462.72 bought Yes and $334.49 bought No.
The largest Yes position is tradetosurvive1 with 527 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.2K. Ten wallets hold 90.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Dec 2026, 32 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 30 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 70%–95%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Oct 2026 | 91.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 77.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.18K |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 527.15 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 444.49 |
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on November 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model-on-livebench-mathematics-end-of-november
10 more outcomes, none above 0.5%.
| acc42020 | No | 378 |
| TraderBeas | Yes | 373 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 365.42 |
| Jovial-Remains-Scarf | Yes | 233.33 |
| yen4u | Yes | 202.57 |
| richyee | Yes | 100 |
| lissartter | No | 80 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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