Analytics
Resolved Yes on 13 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 76.5%. Yes opened at 36.5% on 30 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 113 daily closes on record from 30 Jan 2026 to 13 Jun 2026 (22 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 76.5% on 13 Jun 2026 and the lowest 11.5% on 10 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 21% on 24 Apr 2026. $29.21K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 14, 5:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 113 points, 30 Jan 2026 – 13 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2026 | 36.5% |
| 13 Jun 2026 | 76.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| troim | No | 1.3K |
| 09F911029D74 | No | 200 |
| iawa | No | 84.34 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/openai-gpt-score-on-frontiermath-benchmark-by-june-30
| No |
| 80 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| shortguy | No | 34.54 |
| dodgerlive | No | 22.27 |
| meow-123 | No | 19.84 |
| SaucePolly1 | No | 14.39 |
| TrashGirl | No | 11.07 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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