Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 21% on 20 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 20 Oct 2025 to 25 Oct 2025, the highest close was 21% on 20 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 25 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 6.5% on 22 Oct 2025. $129.12K traded over the market's life.
144 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 26, 4:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 20 Oct 2025 – 25 Oct 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2025 | 21.0% |
| 25 Oct 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wh982kk | Yes | 2.04K |
| Blackhole7 | Yes | 2K |
| Dell.hefty.4D | Yes | 1.51K |
| Jofe | Yes | 1.38K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual is arrested in direct connection of the October 19th robbery of the Louvre by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only arrests of individuals for alleged participation in the planning or execution of the robbery itself will qualify. Arrests made solely for related or subsequent conduct — such as obstruction of justice, making false statements, possession, transport, or attempted sale of the stolen goods, or aiding concealment after the fact — will not qualify. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-any-louvre-heist-robbers-be-arrested-by
| VdBellen | Yes | 1.06K |
| payj | Yes | 1.03K |
| cattalist | Yes | 1.01K |
| exothetajunkie | Yes | 999.98 |
| LukeGamma | Yes | 999.97 |
| Whome | Yes | 999.95 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
