Analytics
Yes is at 4.2%, down 12 points from 16.5% when the market opened on 2 Jun 2026.
Across the 144 daily closes on record from 2 Jun 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 18.5% on 14 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 26 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4%; a month before, 0.5%. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 7% on 3 Jun 2026.
<$1.25T ranks sixth of the 10 outcomes in “Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap”. $1.75–$2.0T leads at 31%; $2.0–$2.25T is at 23.1%.
$6.83K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $209.73K since listing. The order book holds $15.59K, with a 1.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.5K bought Yes and $16.15K bought No; the largest was a $2.6K sell of No at 98.0¢.
The largest Yes position is Ondra with 9K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 72.2K. Ten wallets hold 72.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 144 points, 2 Jun 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jun 2026 | 16.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 4.2% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 72.23K |
| Ondra | Yes | 8.97K |
| Speedy-Automation | Yes | 7.39K |
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/anthropic-ipo-closing-market-cap-higher-strikes
| maladec |
| Yes |
| 7K |
| svdv1 | Yes | 5.87K |
| Sneaky-Staircase | Yes | 4.57K |
| PhongLeXBT | Yes | 4.43K |
| balthazar | Yes | 4.23K |
| Yubingbing | Yes | 4.08K |
| rebotsliaf | Yes | 3.33K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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