Analytics
Resolved Yes on 13 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 94.6%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 20 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 56 daily closes on record from 20 Dec 2025 to 13 Feb 2026, the highest close was 98.5% on 11 Feb 2026 and the lowest 49.5% on 20 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 81% on 21 Dec 2025. $28.83K traded over the market's life.
47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 14, 4:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 56 points, 20 Dec 2025 – 13 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2025 | 49.5% |
| 13 Feb 2026 | 94.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PhongLeXBT | No | 10.31K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.51K |
| Aixcer | No | 401 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending January 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by over the 12-month period ending in January 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for January 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on February 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/january-inflation-us-annual
| No |
| 308.45 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 296 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 273 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 258 |
| 3AU8U2 | No | 150 |
| BcalX9 | No | 140 |
| 2ybIqFxmDf | No | 131.99 |
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