Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% or less in February?

Resolved

No, settled Mar 12, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$78.1K

Resolved

Settled

Mar 12, 2025 UTC

Topic roomUS Economy

Where it stands

Resolved No on 12 Mar 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 94.3%. Yes opened at 36% on 8 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 8 Feb 2025 to 12 Mar 2025, the highest close was 41.5% on 9 Feb 2025 and the lowest 2% on 10 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 7% on 13 Feb 2025. $78.11K traded over the market's life.

14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Mar 13, 12:57 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 8 Feb 2025 – 12 Mar 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
8 Feb 2025	36.0%
12 Mar 2025	5.8%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	15.62K
gallpett	Yes	10.96K
DEZTHEGOAT	Yes	1.23K

10 of 14 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This is a market about inflation over the 12 month period ending February 2025 before seasonal adjustment as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by over the 12 month period ending in February 2025 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for February 2025 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on March 12, 2025, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.