Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in June?

Resolved

No, settled Jul 15, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$102.1K

Resolved

Settled

Jul 15, 2025 UTC

Topic roomUS Economy

Where it stands

Resolved No on 15 Jul 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 3.5% on 12 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 34 daily closes on record from 12 Jun 2025 to 15 Jul 2025, the highest close was 4.2% on 24 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 13 Jul 2025. $102.08K traded over the market's life.

34 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 16, 4:39 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 12 Jun 2025 – 15 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
12 Jun 2025	3.5%
15 Jul 2025	0.7%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	53.32K
Amine0	Yes	3.85K
0x2b	Yes	2.41K
Winged-Inventor	Yes	1.46K

10 of 34 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This is a market about inflation over the 12 month period ending June 2025 before seasonal adjustment as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by over the 12 month period ending in June 2025 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for June 2025 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on July 15, 2025, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.