Will Andres Castro be the Democratic Nominee for GA-05?

Resolved

No, settled May 20, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$2.1K

Resolved

Settled

May 20, 2026 UTC

Topic roomCuba and the region

Where it stands

Resolved No on 20 May 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 46% on 26 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 57 daily closes on record from 26 Feb 2026 to 20 May 2026 (27 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 46% on 26 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 17 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 12% on 27 Feb 2026. $2.06K traded over the market's life.

20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 21, 2:19 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 57 points, 26 Feb 2026 – 20 May 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
26 Feb 2026	46.0%
20 May 2026	0.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	704.27
Deafening-Possible	Yes	139
cry.eth2	Yes	59.9

10 of 20 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the GA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.