Analytics
Resolved Yes on 9 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.4%. Yes opened at 65.5% on 12 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 60 daily closes on record from 12 Dec 2024 to 9 Feb 2025, the highest close was 98.4% on 9 Feb 2025 and the lowest 12% on 11 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 58 points up, to 94% on 6 Feb 2025. $192.7K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 10, 3:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 60 points, 12 Dec 2024 – 9 Feb 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2024 | 65.5% |
| 9 Feb 2025 | 98.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Aluftan | No | 7.08K |
| BetterCallJa | No | 230.23 |
| LetsBetOnThings | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state of the European Union formally recognizes any new government as the legitimate governing authority of the majority of the territory known as Syria, by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of a government as the country's legitimate authority/government will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge a new Syrian government, but do not formally recognize the authority of the government will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the recognizing government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-recognize-syrian-government-by-march-31
| Yes |
| 76.92 |
| StellarVino | No | 40.52 |
| Rapid Voyager 82D2 | No | 10.01 |
| Casualdaffodil | Yes | 5 |
| SBx | Yes | 4.55 |
| OwenOrlando | No | 1.78 |
| Baar | Yes | 1.32 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
