Analytics
Yes is at 0.1%, down 50 points from 50% when the market opened on 3 Jul 2026.
Across the 115 daily closes on record from 3 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 3 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 8 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 0.1%; a month before, 0.1%. Its largest one-day move was 47 points down, to 2.9% on 4 Jul 2026.
Alverca ranks seventh of the 18 outcomes in “Primeira Liga: 2027 Champion”. Porto leads at 60.5%; Benfica is at 29%.
$623.72 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $13.18K, with a 0.05% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 23 trades, $0 bought Yes and $364.73 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Dreamwire with 420 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.5K. Ten wallets hold 88.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 15 Jun 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 115 points, 3 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.46K |
| Dreamwire | Yes | 419.82 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 296 |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship per the rules of Primeira Liga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/primeira-liga-2027-champion-20260701201425834
6 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| hesure |
| Yes |
| 249.99 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 206.55 |
| rainbowlilies | Yes | 199.99 |
| god83743894 | Yes | 162 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| 613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44. | Yes | 100 |
| Admirable-Trust | Yes | 98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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