Analytics
Yes is at 29%, down 22 points from 51% when the market opened on 3 Jul 2026.
Across the 115 daily closes on record from 3 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 51% on 3 Jul 2026 and the lowest 20.5% on 9 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 32.5%; a month before, 29.5%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 35% on 4 Jul 2026.
Benfica ranks second of the 18 outcomes in “Primeira Liga: 2027 Champion”. Porto leads at 60.5%; Sporting CP is at 5.5%.
$425.52 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $20.19K since listing. The order book holds $2.47K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 260 trades, $1.45K bought Yes and $5.26K bought No; the largest was a $2.87K buy of No at 65.8¢.
The largest Yes position is Nooserac with 1.9K shares; the largest No position is leegunner with 4K. Ten wallets hold 87% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 15 Jun 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 115 points, 3 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jul 2026 | 51.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 29.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| leegunner | No | 3.97K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.46K |
| Nooserac | Yes | 1.86K |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship per the rules of Primeira Liga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Primeira Liga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/primeira-liga-2027-champion-20260701201425834
6 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| Carrotes |
| Yes |
| 1.16K |
| Six000000 | Yes | 935.78 |
| rxkingtrader | Yes | 471.21 |
| chap73 | Yes | 434.78 |
| bonalddrunk | Yes | 400.4 |
| poorguy88 | Yes | 356.53 |
| funplayer- | No | 276.25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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