Analytics
Resolved Yes on 22 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.4%. Yes opened at 45.5% on 3 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 3 Jul 2026 to 22 Jul 2026, the highest close was 97.4% on 22 Jul 2026 and the lowest 45.5% on 3 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 90% on 10 Jul 2026. $4.39K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 23, 3:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 3 Jul 2026 – 22 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jul 2026 | 45.5% |
| 22 Jul 2026 | 97.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 988.23 |
| redbeauty | No | 133.33 |
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| HerrieDavis | No | 94.81 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican nomination for Secretary of State of Arizona. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/arizona-secretary-of-state-republican-primary-winner-20260702190600142
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | No | 93 |
| PPMT | No | 30 |
| banestow | No | 26.84 |
| Mojito9 | No | 18 |
| dropmeplease | No | 17.5 |
| triklozoid | No | 15 |
