Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 42% on 25 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 36 daily closes on record from 25 Jun 2026 to 31 Jul 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 77.5% on 5 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 20 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 56 points down, to 21.5% on 9 Jul 2026. $18.96K traded over the market's life.
29 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 1, 8:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 25 Jun 2026 – 31 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jun 2026 | 42.0% |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Crypto-Well | Yes | 3.27K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.85K |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
The 2026 New Caledonia provincial elections are currently scheduled to be held on June 28, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of President of the Government of New Caledonia by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as President of the Government of New Caledonia. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such President takes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Caledonia (https://gouv.nc/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-president-of-new-caledonia-20260623011924109
| Yes |
| 148.96 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| Anon321321321 | Yes | 91.99 |
| albert.00 | Yes | 90.91 |
| Azure Meteor 8472 | Yes | 50 |
| Ardtysrt01 | Yes | 49.47 |
| BlobbyD | Yes | 35.62 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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