Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 884.75 | $0.904 | $752.04 | -$47.96 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | buy | 119.05 | $0.840 | $100 | Jul 12, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 202.7 |
| $0.740 |
| $163.18 |
| +$13.18 |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 237.07 | $0.844 | $77.05 | -$122.95 |
 Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Yes | 50.13 | $0.399 | $10.23 | -$9.77 |
 Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | Yes | 98.29 | $0.814 | $9.98 | -$70.02 |
 Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Yes | 71.55 | $0.699 | $4.51 | -$45.49 |
| Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | No | 75.76 | $0.660 | $3.41 | -$46.59 |
| buy |
| 330.15 |
| $0.909 |
| $300 |
| Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.840 | $200 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.920 | $200 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.850 | $100 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | buy | 330.49 | $0.908 | $300 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.880 | $400 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.900 | $500 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Yes | buy | 121.93 | $0.820 | $100 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes | buy | 50.13 | $0.399 | $20 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Alcide Ponga be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.550 | $50 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | buy | 224.11 | $0.892 | $200 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 115.34 | $0.867 | $100 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.850 | $100 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Raffaele Giordano win the 2026 Cava De' Tirreni mayoral election?Yes | buy | 119.76 | $0.835 | $100 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?Yes | buy | 119.56 | $0.836 | $100 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes | buy | 71.55 | $0.699 | $50 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.750 | $100 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | buy | 202.7 | $0.740 | $150 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?Yes | buy | 217.39 | $0.920 | $200 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | buy | 118.02 | $0.847 | $100 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No | buy | 75.76 | $0.660 | $50 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 57.69 | $0.520 | $30 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 86.42 | $0.810 | $70 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 120.05 | $0.833 | $100 | May 31, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 88 | $0.795 | $70 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No | buy | 420.61 | $0.951 | $400 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.900 | $100 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.650 | $50 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 70.14 | $0.713 | $50 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 217.63 | $0.919 | $200 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?Yes | buy | 89.61 | $0.781 | $70 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes | buy | 140.85 | $0.710 | $100 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 130.14 | $0.768 | $100 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Yes | buy | 220.38 | $0.908 | $200 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.024 | $2 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 67.76 | $0.089 | $6 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?No | buy | 217.39 | $0.023 | $5 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 47.63 | $0.630 | $30 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will the SBC initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?No | buy | 218.9 | $0.914 | $200 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 216.41 | $0.924 | $200 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 122.28 | $0.818 | $100 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.860 | $100 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 132.98 | $0.752 | $100 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?Yes | buy | 229.89 | $0.870 | $200 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?No | buy | 93.87 | $0.799 | $75 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?No | buy | 238.1 | $0.021 | $5 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on February 28?No | buy | 219.78 | $0.910 | $200 | Feb 27, 2026 |