Analytics
Yes is at 50%, about where the market opened on 25 Jun 2026.
Across the 124 daily closes on record from 25 Jun 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 57.8% on 22 Aug 2026 and the lowest 3.5% on 1 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 49.4%; a month before, 50.2%. Its largest one-day move was 45 points down, to 3.5% on 1 Jul 2026.
$782.27 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $4.23, with a 97.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 23 trades, $65.8 bought Yes and $137.62 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Dearest-Urge with 200 shares; the largest No position is amame with 402.
Trading closes on 2 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 3:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 124 points, 25 Jun 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jun 2026 | 50.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| amame | No | 402.34 |
| Dearest-Urge | Yes | 200 |
| moxiaochen | Yes | 159.99 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any pro player locks in Teemo before 11:59 PM ET December 31, 2026. This market will resolve to "No" if no pro player locks in Teemo before 11:59 PM ET December 31, 2026. Tier 1 events are defined as First Stand, MSI, Worlds, or any game played in a Regional Split of the LEC, LCS, LPL, LCK, CBLOL, or LCP Stand-ins and substitutes will count for the purposes of this market. Showmatches or promotional games will not be counted for the purposes of this market. If this market cannot be determined by January 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-a-player-pick-teemo-in-a-tier-1-leagueevent-this-year-20260624131200269
| Ironguardian13 |
| Yes |
| 89.99 |
| asakku | No | 71.55 |
| nowhereInParticular | No | 50 |
| LaminionYamal | Yes | 30 |
| lolzzzlol | Yes | 20 |
| nahte10 | Yes | 20 |
| Muted-Accuracy | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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