Analytics
Yes is at 18%, down 19 points from 37% when the market opened on 4 Nov 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 4 Nov 2026 to 5 Nov 2026, the highest close was 37% on 4 Nov 2026 and the lowest 13.5% on 5 Nov 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 13.5% on 5 Nov 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “How many Knesset members will vote for the new Israeli government?”.
$38.05 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $135.05 since listing. The order book holds $550.23, with a 32.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 67 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 140.
Trading closes on 1 Mar 2027, 116 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 4:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 4 Nov 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2026 | 37.0% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 18.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 140.05 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 67 |
| VonVonagh | Yes | 50 |
Following the Israeli legislative election of October 27, 2026, the 26th Knesset is set to hold a vote of confidence in a new government. This market will resolve to the number of Members of the Knesset who vote “For” in the first vote of confidence in a new Israeli government held following this election. The vote count refers to the first final vote of confidence in the full Knesset, not committee votes or procedural motions. If no such vote is held by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by February 28”. Only a vote of confidence held by the 26th Knesset, elected on October 27, 2026, will be considered. If the 26th Knesset is dissolved and a new election is called before such a vote is held, this market will resolve to “No vote by February 28”. Votes of confidence held after any subsequent Knesset election will not be considered. The resolution sources will be official information from the Knesset and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-knesset-members-vote-for-new-israeli-government
| Numitus1994 |
| Yes |
| 18.05 |
| luciebot | Yes | 5 |
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