Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 10% on 8 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 8 Jan 2025 to 22 Jan 2025, the highest close was 10% on 8 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 22 Jan 2025. $68.59K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 23, 12:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 8 Jan 2025 – 22 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jan 2025 | 10.0% |
| 22 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 51.78K |
| digital | Yes | 1.56K |
| FelixBenner | Yes | 30 |
| Sombrero | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump's inauguration has between 38,000,000 (inclusive) and 41,000,000 (exclusive) viewers. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be information from Nielsen, specifically their Persons 2+ statistic. If Nielsen does not provide viewership information for Trump's inauguration by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source may be chosen.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-people-will-watch-trump-inauguration
| Rapid Voyager 82D2 | Yes | 9 |
| Tenebrus7 | Yes | 0.01 |
| eieio | Yes | 0.01 |
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